Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 0.000189 0.000209 0.000231 0.000256 0.000284 0.000314 0.000350
2025-09-21 0.000148 0.000177 0.000210 0.000252 0.000304 0.000365 0.000444
2025-09-28 0.000121 0.000153 0.000192 0.000244 0.000312 0.000398 0.000519
2025-10-05 0.000108 0.000142 0.000186 0.000249 0.000335 0.000451 0.000623
2025-10-12 0.000098 0.000134 0.000182 0.000253 0.000355 0.000502 0.000730
2025-10-19 0.000088 0.000124 0.000174 0.000251 0.000367 0.000539 0.000821
2025-10-26 0.000081 0.000118 0.000170 0.000253 0.000384 0.000587 0.000934
2025-11-02 0.000074 0.000110 0.000163 0.000250 0.000392 0.000619 0.001026
2025-11-09 0.000068 0.000104 0.000158 0.000249 0.000402 0.000657 0.001131
2025-11-16 0.000063 0.000097 0.000151 0.000245 0.000406 0.000684 0.001220
2025-11-23 0.000058 0.000091 0.000144 0.000238 0.000406 0.000704 0.001299
2025-11-30 0.000055 0.000088 0.000143 0.000242 0.000423 0.000756 0.001446
2025-12-07 0.000052 0.000085 0.000141 0.000245 0.000441 0.000813 0.001617
2025-12-14 0.000048 0.000080 0.000135 0.000240 0.000443 0.000842 0.001736
2025-12-21 0.000043 0.000074 0.000127 0.000231 0.000438 0.000856 0.001825
2025-12-28 0.000042 0.000072 0.000127 0.000236 0.000460 0.000926 0.002052
2026-01-04 0.000040 0.000070 0.000126 0.000240 0.000480 0.000997 0.002293
2026-01-11 0.000037 0.000067 0.000123 0.000238 0.000488 0.001042 0.002481
2026-01-18 0.000036 0.000065 0.000121 0.000240 0.000505 0.001110 0.002740
2026-01-25 0.000034 0.000062 0.000117 0.000237 0.000510 0.001149 0.002930
2026-02-01 0.000032 0.000060 0.000115 0.000236 0.000519 0.001200 0.003163
2026-02-08 0.000030 0.000057 0.000111 0.000232 0.000520 0.001232 0.003349
2026-02-15 0.000028 0.000054 0.000106 0.000226 0.000517 0.001252 0.003501